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Why Predictions Need Horizons
beginner
8 min
3 sectionsThe Problem with Open-Ended Predictions
"Apple will go up."
When? By how much? Without a time horizon, this prediction is unfalsifiable — and therefore useless.
On Deepmint, every claim must include a horizon: 1 day, 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, or 1 year. When the horizon expires, the prediction is evaluated against actual market data. No ambiguity.